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Learning the lessons from Ukraine’s fight against Russian cyber warfare
The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine is among the most technologically advanced wars the world has ever seen. But while the rapid developments taking place in drone warfare tend to attract most attention, the cyber front of the conflict also offers important lessons for international audiences. The Russian state and affiliated groups have been refining their cyber warfare tactics in Ukraine ever since the initial onset of Russian aggression in 2014. In January 2022, Ukrain
2 hours ago
Sneaky heat: the Kremlin uses climate change to push its favourite FIMI narratives
With COP30 underway, the consequences of ongoing climate change are all around us . This summer in Spain, in the midst of an unprecedented heatwave , some 380,000 hectares burned in wildfires. This area was the fifth largest on record , despite decades of work to improve prevention measures and give harsher sentences to those who start fires. Portugal also suffered, with fires destroying 260,000 hectares – proportionately, the largest burn area in Europe. Even in Paris, autho
1 day ago
Punchlines: Wagner and Narva
Estonia responds to Russian trolling with ridicule. By Edward Lucas Source: Estonian MFA Russia’s Wagner Group mercenaries are not the kind of people you want to see on your doorstep. So it was unwelcome news in Estonia when border guards spotted the group’s distinctive flag (skull and lightning bolts on black) on a Russian patrol boat on the Narva river. All the more so because Estonia is battling lazy journalism that depicts its eastern border city as a likely Russian tar
2 days ago
Sneaky heat: the Kremlin uses climate change to push its favourite FIMI narratives
With COP30 underway, the consequences of ongoing climate change are all around us . This summer in Spain, in the midst of an unprecedented heatwave , some 380,000 hectares burned in wildfires. This area was the fifth largest on record , despite decades of work to improve prevention measures and give harsher sentences to those who start fires. Portugal also suffered, with fires destroying 260,000 hectares – proportionately, the largest burn area in Europe. Even in Paris, autho
1 day ago
Weaponising climate change to undermine the West
The pro-Kremlin disinformation machine is seeking to undermine the EU’s sanctions policy by attacking its Green Deal. In its quest for the tiniest bit of news that could be twisted to undermine liberal democracy around the world, the Kremlin’s disinformation machine occasionally seizes on an issue that it otherwise treats with disinterest or disdain. So it is with climate change. The pro-Kremlin disinformation ecosystem tends to ignore it: The COP30 climate conference, schedu
5 days ago
Large language models: the new battlefield of Russian information warfare
In the digital age, disinformation campaigns have evolved beyond social media and ‘fake news’, becoming a full form of information warfare – an area in which Russia excels. The Kremlin’s foreign information manipulation and interference (FIMI) campaigns have remained largely consistent since the Cold War. But the emergence of the Internet and other communication technologies have allowed for more flexibility and greater impact with fewer resources. Just as the Web 2.0 reshape
Oct 28
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Unmuzzled: German Spies
Political meddling has long hampered German intelligence and security. Not any more. By Edward Lucas Penetrated by the opposition, paralysed by legal obstacles and subject to political interference, Germany’s intelligence services were for decades seen as at best useless, and at worst outright harmful. I remember a British spook in cold-war Berlin in the 1980s joking: “If you want Gorbachev to know something quickly, tell the Germans in strict secrecy: it will be on his desk
Oct 29
Five Ways to Punish Russia
With a bit of imagination and courage, NATO can impose immediate costs for Russia’s hybrid war operations. Source: NATO Airborne Early...
Oct 20
Ancient Wisdom: Europe Cannot Hide Behind its Walls
What should be Europe’s strategy as aggressive imperial powers seek to conquer territory? Ancient Greece offers some guidance. Source:...
Oct 17
Putin seeks more foreign fighters amid mounting Russian losses in Ukraine
A screenshot from the video with a captured Indian national, Majoti Sahil Mohamed Hussein. (The 63rd Mechanized Brigade / Telegram) As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine approaches the four-year mark, Moscow is facing increasing difficulties replenishing the ranks of its invading army. With fewer Russians now prepared to volunteer, the Kremlin is seeking to recruit more foreign fighters to serve in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s colonial war. A number of recent media
Nov 3
Civilian Technology is Key to European Defense
Europe must harness dual-use technology to more swiftly deliver battlefield innovation. Kraken Technology Group picture Dual-use is not new, and Europe has a proud history of commercial-military innovation. In World War I, Renault adapted industrial expertise to create the pioneering FT tank , while in World War II, Ford’s UK plants pivoted to produce tanks, shipyards retooled and Bletchley Park fused government, industry and academia to crack codes and pioneer early computin
Oct 31
Learning Polish Lessons From Russian Attacks
Poland’s battle against cyberattacks should be a warning and an example for the West as governments seek to counter their enemies’ hybrid tactics. Source: Embassy of the Republic of Poland in London A hospital was forced to suspend operations. A city’s water network was infiltrated . Dozens of daily cyberattacks are hammering Poland’s municipal systems. This is the new normal in an era of irregular warfare. Officials report 20 to 50 attacks a day , with most blocked, but s
Oct 27
Learning the lessons from Ukraine’s fight against Russian cyber warfare
The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine is among the most technologically advanced wars the world has ever seen. But while the rapid developments taking place in drone warfare tend to attract most attention, the cyber front of the conflict also offers important lessons for international audiences. The Russian state and affiliated groups have been refining their cyber warfare tactics in Ukraine ever since the initial onset of Russian aggression in 2014. In January 2022, Ukrain
2 hours ago
Sneaky heat: the Kremlin uses climate change to push its favourite FIMI narratives
With COP30 underway, the consequences of ongoing climate change are all around us . This summer in Spain, in the midst of an unprecedented heatwave , some 380,000 hectares burned in wildfires. This area was the fifth largest on record , despite decades of work to improve prevention measures and give harsher sentences to those who start fires. Portugal also suffered, with fires destroying 260,000 hectares – proportionately, the largest burn area in Europe. Even in Paris, autho
1 day ago
Punchlines: Wagner and Narva
Estonia responds to Russian trolling with ridicule. By Edward Lucas Source: Estonian MFA Russia’s Wagner Group mercenaries are not the kind of people you want to see on your doorstep. So it was unwelcome news in Estonia when border guards spotted the group’s distinctive flag (skull and lightning bolts on black) on a Russian patrol boat on the Narva river. All the more so because Estonia is battling lazy journalism that depicts its eastern border city as a likely Russian tar
2 days ago
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