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ANALYTICS


Civilian Technology is Key to European Defense
Europe must harness dual-use technology to more swiftly deliver battlefield innovation. Kraken Technology Group picture Dual-use is not new, and Europe has a proud history of commercial-military innovation. In World War I, Renault adapted industrial expertise to create the pioneering FT tank , while in World War II, Ford’s UK plants pivoted to produce tanks, shipyards retooled and Bletchley Park fused government, industry and academia to crack codes and pioneer early computin
24 minutes ago


Learning Polish Lessons From Russian Attacks
Poland’s battle against cyberattacks should be a warning and an example for the West as governments seek to counter their enemies’ hybrid tactics. Source: Embassy of the Republic of Poland in London A hospital  was forced to suspend operations. A city’s water network was infiltrated . Dozens of daily cyberattacks are hammering Poland’s municipal systems.   This is the new normal in an era of irregular warfare. Officials report 20 to 50 attacks a day , with most blocked, but s
4 days ago


NATO Must Learn from Ukraine’s Frontline Drone Labs
Russian drone incursions mark an acceleration in the Kremlin's hybrid war on the West. NATO members should study Ukraine's frontline labs to prepare for what comes next. Source: 427th Separate Regiment of Unmanned Systems "RAROG" The Russia-Ukraine conflict has radically changed the understanding of modern warfare. Aviation no longer has absolute control of the air, and advanced tanks and armored vehicles have had their vulnerability exposed by relatively inexpensive unmanned
Oct 22


Strain beneath the surface: Russia’s economic pressures amid a continuing conflict
The Kremlin’s planners prepared well for their full-scale invasion of Ukraine, building up currency reserves and later boosting growth through military spending. But the Russian economy is beginning to show signs of weakness as Moscow’s illegal war continues. For years, Russian state outlets and pro-Kremlin commentators have boasted  of Russia’s great economy despite Western sanctions that greatly intensified  after Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In
Oct 21


Five Ways to Punish Russia
With a bit of imagination and courage, NATO can impose immediate costs for Russia’s hybrid war operations. Source: NATO Airborne Early...
Oct 20


Ancient Wisdom: Europe Cannot Hide Behind its Walls
What should be Europe’s strategy as aggressive imperial powers seek to conquer territory? Ancient Greece offers some guidance. Source:...
Oct 17


Look Who's Shooting Down Russian Drones: Belarus
Screenshot from a video by Belarus 1 TV channel In the early hours of September 10, as swarms of Russian drones entered Belarusian...
Oct 13


Kremlin Financial Retaliation? Empty Threats
The Putin regime realizes its war of aggression will be seriously affected if financial assets are handed to Ukraine. But it’s impotent....
Oct 8


Three things to note in the UK’s new Defence Industrial Strategy
RAF Typhoons / Source: Royal Air Force Summer is usually quiet for members of the United Kingdom’s defense and national security...
Sep 29


How quickly can Taiwan integrate US weapon systems? Speed is essential to help deter China.
A Taiwanese M1A2T Abrams US made main battle tank. / Taiwan Military News Agency Over the past few years, discussions on Taiwan’s...
Sep 15


China’s Anti-Western Bloc? Not So Fast
A summit of mostly autocratic countries appears a gloomy signal for the West. But there’s a gap between China’s ambition and delivery....
Sep 10


The Man With Viktor Orbán in His Sights
Hungary’s premier has held the role in a vise-like grip for 15 years, but faces the most serious challenge yet at next-year’s election....
Sep 4


Pro-Moscow Myths in Kharkiv Have Lost Support, but New Narratives Need to Be Created
The tyranny and mass torture that the Kremlin is using in Ukraine today, systematic shelling and rocket attacks on civilians, resulting...
Sep 2


Putin’s Long Game
Russia’s leader aims to cherry-pick concessions from the West, while imposing Soviet-style barriers between his people and outsiders....
Sep 1


Georgia — Target the Judges
Once a reliable partner of the West, Georgia is now becoming a Russian-style dictatorship. The West must do more to avert this outcome....
Aug 28


Putin is facing a fuel crisis as Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian refineries
Gasoline prices soared to record highs  in Russia this week amid growing reports of fuel shortages due to an escalating Ukrainian bombing...
Aug 25


Europe is Winning the AI Small Data Race
US tech might need to catch up if the European strategy pays off. Source: European Commission In the artificial intelligence contest, US...
Aug 20


Everyone Needs Loyal Wingmen — A US-European Bargain
A quickfire series of agreements are blazing a trail for future transatlantic defense cooperation. The XQ-58A Valkyrie first flew on 5...
Aug 18


Ukraine’s expanding robot army can help address manpower shortages
The Ukrainian military claims  to have conducted a groundbreaking local offensive in early July 2025, using exclusively robotic systems...
Aug 15


Sensors on the Baltic Frontline
Russia is now blending cyber interference, underwater sabotage, and manipulation of maritime law to gain tactical advantage without overt...
Aug 13


Putin Building African Springboard for War on West
Russia’s military engagement in Africa has grown since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in a deliberate and cost-effective strategy to...
Aug 11


Ukraine’s Blitz Spirit: Freedom Over Fear
Putin may think bombardment will force Ukrainians into capitulation, but surveys show something very different is happening. Source:...
Aug 7


The Pariahs’ Embrace: The Kremlin and the Taliban
By recognizing the Taliban as Afghanistan’s legitimate authority, Moscow is trying to revive its waning geopolitical influence. Press...
Jul 30


Humanitarian Aid Fraud and Social Media Propaganda: How Russian Influence Works in France
About organizations, people, and media that promote Russian narratives and spread the influence of the aggressor state in France. On May...
Jul 28


Russia’s Hybrid Playbook in Africa: Arms, Business, Propaganda
Russia continues to actively advance its interests in Africa. The Kremlin is using soft power to strengthen its foothold in the region....
Jul 24


The myth of betrayal: the West as the eternal enemy
T he myth of the evil West, always on the verge of attacking, served Soviet leaders well for decades—and it’s back in full force in...
Jul 11


The West’s Golden Opportunity to Split Russia’s ‘Deathbed Alliance’
Coordinated Western efforts to persuade Eurasian nations to reduce ties to Russia would diminish Moscow's influence and vex the Kremlin....
Jul 10


Russia’s Cyber Warriors Assail NATO-Linked Private Companies
The West’s private sector has still not understood the threat posed by Russian cyber intelligence groups. That’s foolish. Source:...
Jul 8


Gulag 2.0 — Russia Reopens the Camps
New legislation working its way through Russia’s rubber-stamp parliament foreshadows a harsh crackdown across Putin’s despotic state....
Jul 4


Europe or China: Who is Africa’s biggest economic partner?
As the world pays more attention to Africa, two major players stand out: China and the European Union (EU). China often makes the news...
Jul 3


Russiaworld, Iran and a Cascade of Collapse
Things have changed beyond recognition for the Kremlin’s bosses as their once-formidable global network suffers one defeat after another....
Jun 27


Hate speech inciting mass violence against civilians is an international crime
The role of Russian propaganda in driving Russia’s aggression and other international crimes in Ukraine has by now been acknowledged  at...
Jun 26


Ghosts in the Machine: Opposing Putin
Like the Russian opposition, economic sanctions are popular but ineffective. By Edward Lucas Foto: Vladimir VELENGURIN / KP Sanctions on...
Jun 25


Rising Spider: Israel and Ukraine Change Warfare
Israel’s campaign against Iran is extensive, effective, and (much like imaginative Ukrainian tactics) represents a serious warning to the...
Jun 23


Banking: Moldova’s Winning
Russia’s grip on the unrecognized Transnistrian state is weakening. No stunts, please. By Edward Lucas Source: Point.md. Could the...
Jun 20


Kazakhstan and the Russian Tightrope
President Tokayev has restored order since “Bloody January” and boosted Kazakhstan’s image, but Russia’s economic weakness and tougher US...
Jun 16


Russian hybrid warfare: Ukraine’s success offers lessons for Europe
Source: Atlantic Council As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine continues, the Kremlin is also rapidly escalating its hybrid war...
Jun 13


The Booming China-Russia Drone Alliance
The Russia-China axis is expanding as engineers from both sides work side-by-side to produce lethal drone technology. By David Kirichenko...
Jun 12


How Russia Prepared Crimea and Donetsk for Attack
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 followed decades of work to assert control over Crimea and Donbas. The playbook will be...
Jun 10


Unpacking Russia’s cyber nesting doll
When the Russian government launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, many Western observers braced for digital...
Jun 5


Hot Shots: Cold Sweats
Europe’s not ready. And Putin knows it.  By Edward Lucas.  Source: NATO Force Integration Unit Latvia  With every day that passes, Europe...
May 27


Belarus: the campaign to harass and lure back exiled political opponents
The 21st of May marks the International Day of Solidarity with Political Prisoners in Belarus. We look at how the regime in Belarus has...
May 26


How Russia Mobilises Troops in Ukraine’s Occupied Territories
Russia has occupied parts of Ukraine for over ten years. The Center for Information Resilience (CIR) and the Detector Media Research...
May 23


Behind the Lines: Russia Makes Ukrainians Foreigners in Their Own Country
Putin has given Ukrainians until September to become Russian citizens or leave the occupied territories in his latest attempt to erase...
May 20


The Phony War: Ukraine and Russia’s Decoy Drones
Ukraine and Russia are locked in a race to combat ever-more sophisticated drone attacks, and to spot the decoys sent to deceive their...
May 16


Bosnia: Moscow’s Second Front in Europe
The Kremlin is playing games behind the scenes in the Balkans, presenting the West with a challenge and an opportunity. Source:...
May 13


NATO and the End of Military Self-Indulgence
NATO’s founding treaty obliges members “to maintain and develop [the]...capacity to resist armed attack.” That has been seriously...
May 8


Britain’s Spymasters — The Kremlin’s Most Feared Enemy
A profound anxiety about the espionage capabilities of the UK and France is rooted deep in the Kremlin’s consciousness. While the US...
Apr 18


Ukrainian victims of war crimes need new approaches to justice
Photo source: State Emergency Service of Ukraine In recent months, international media coverage of Russia’s Ukraine invasion has focused...
Apr 17


Putin is ruthlessly erasing Ukrainian identity in Russian-occupied Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered  Ukrainians living under Russian occupation to “legalize” their status by September 10 or...
Apr 10
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