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ANALYTICS


Ukraine’s expanding robot army can help address manpower shortages
The Ukrainian military claims to have conducted a groundbreaking local offensive in early July 2025, using exclusively robotic systems...
13 hours ago


Sensors on the Baltic Frontline
Russia is now blending cyber interference, underwater sabotage, and manipulation of maritime law to gain tactical advantage without overt...
3 days ago


Putin Building African Springboard for War on West
Russia’s military engagement in Africa has grown since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in a deliberate and cost-effective strategy to...
5 days ago


Ukraine’s Blitz Spirit: Freedom Over Fear
Putin may think bombardment will force Ukrainians into capitulation, but surveys show something very different is happening. Source:...
Aug 7


The Pariahs’ Embrace: The Kremlin and the Taliban
By recognizing the Taliban as Afghanistan’s legitimate authority, Moscow is trying to revive its waning geopolitical influence. Press...
Jul 30


Humanitarian Aid Fraud and Social Media Propaganda: How Russian Influence Works in France
About organizations, people, and media that promote Russian narratives and spread the influence of the aggressor state in France. On May...
Jul 28


Russia’s Hybrid Playbook in Africa: Arms, Business, Propaganda
Russia continues to actively advance its interests in Africa. The Kremlin is using soft power to strengthen its foothold in the region....
Jul 24


The myth of betrayal: the West as the eternal enemy
T he myth of the evil West, always on the verge of attacking, served Soviet leaders well for decades—and it’s back in full force in...
Jul 11


The West’s Golden Opportunity to Split Russia’s ‘Deathbed Alliance’
Coordinated Western efforts to persuade Eurasian nations to reduce ties to Russia would diminish Moscow's influence and vex the Kremlin....
Jul 10


Russia’s Cyber Warriors Assail NATO-Linked Private Companies
The West’s private sector has still not understood the threat posed by Russian cyber intelligence groups. That’s foolish. Source:...
Jul 8


Gulag 2.0 — Russia Reopens the Camps
New legislation working its way through Russia’s rubber-stamp parliament foreshadows a harsh crackdown across Putin’s despotic state....
Jul 4


Europe or China: Who is Africa’s biggest economic partner?
As the world pays more attention to Africa, two major players stand out: China and the European Union (EU). China often makes the news...
Jul 3


Russiaworld, Iran and a Cascade of Collapse
Things have changed beyond recognition for the Kremlin’s bosses as their once-formidable global network suffers one defeat after another....
Jun 27


Hate speech inciting mass violence against civilians is an international crime
The role of Russian propaganda in driving Russia’s aggression and other international crimes in Ukraine has by now been acknowledged at...
Jun 26


Ghosts in the Machine: Opposing Putin
Like the Russian opposition, economic sanctions are popular but ineffective. By Edward Lucas Foto: Vladimir VELENGURIN / KP Sanctions on...
Jun 25


Rising Spider: Israel and Ukraine Change Warfare
Israel’s campaign against Iran is extensive, effective, and (much like imaginative Ukrainian tactics) represents a serious warning to the...
Jun 23


Banking: Moldova’s Winning
Russia’s grip on the unrecognized Transnistrian state is weakening. No stunts, please. By Edward Lucas Source: Point.md. Could the...
Jun 20


Kazakhstan and the Russian Tightrope
President Tokayev has restored order since “Bloody January” and boosted Kazakhstan’s image, but Russia’s economic weakness and tougher US...
Jun 16


Russian hybrid warfare: Ukraine’s success offers lessons for Europe
Source: Atlantic Council As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine continues, the Kremlin is also rapidly escalating its hybrid war...
Jun 13


The Booming China-Russia Drone Alliance
The Russia-China axis is expanding as engineers from both sides work side-by-side to produce lethal drone technology. By David Kirichenko...
Jun 12


How Russia Prepared Crimea and Donetsk for Attack
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 followed decades of work to assert control over Crimea and Donbas. The playbook will be...
Jun 10


Unpacking Russia’s cyber nesting doll
When the Russian government launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, many Western observers braced for digital...
Jun 5


Hot Shots: Cold Sweats
Europe’s not ready. And Putin knows it. By Edward Lucas. Source: NATO Force Integration Unit Latvia With every day that passes, Europe...
May 27


Belarus: the campaign to harass and lure back exiled political opponents
The 21st of May marks the International Day of Solidarity with Political Prisoners in Belarus. We look at how the regime in Belarus has...
May 26


How Russia Mobilises Troops in Ukraine’s Occupied Territories
Russia has occupied parts of Ukraine for over ten years. The Center for Information Resilience (CIR) and the Detector Media Research...
May 23


Behind the Lines: Russia Makes Ukrainians Foreigners in Their Own Country
Putin has given Ukrainians until September to become Russian citizens or leave the occupied territories in his latest attempt to erase...
May 20


The Phony War: Ukraine and Russia’s Decoy Drones
Ukraine and Russia are locked in a race to combat ever-more sophisticated drone attacks, and to spot the decoys sent to deceive their...
May 16


Bosnia: Moscow’s Second Front in Europe
The Kremlin is playing games behind the scenes in the Balkans, presenting the West with a challenge and an opportunity. Source:...
May 13


NATO and the End of Military Self-Indulgence
NATO’s founding treaty obliges members “to maintain and develop [the]...capacity to resist armed attack.” That has been seriously...
May 8


Britain’s Spymasters — The Kremlin’s Most Feared Enemy
A profound anxiety about the espionage capabilities of the UK and France is rooted deep in the Kremlin’s consciousness. While the US...
Apr 18


Ukrainian victims of war crimes need new approaches to justice
Photo source: State Emergency Service of Ukraine In recent months, international media coverage of Russia’s Ukraine invasion has focused...
Apr 17


Putin is ruthlessly erasing Ukrainian identity in Russian-occupied Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered Ukrainians living under Russian occupation to “legalize” their status by September 10 or...
Apr 10


Why American Soldiers Are in Lithuania
The likely accidental deaths of four Americans in the Baltic state will not by themselves stop plans for redeployment. And they...
Mar 31


Behind the curtain: a novel analytical approach to FIMI exposure
The European External Action Service (EEAS) has released its third report on foreign information manipulation and interference (FIMI)...
Mar 28


NATO’s capability development: A call for urgent reform
Photo by Marina Militare In today’s fast-evolving security environment, NATO finds itself at a critical crossroads. Rapid technological...
Mar 21


What we have learnt about FIMI after three years of full-scale war in Ukraine
By Mykola Balaban and Serhii Zhukov The modern level of economic, political, and informational globalisation offers vast opportunities...
Mar 19


Belarus: Lukashenka’s sham election and shift towards a Chinese political model
On 26 January 2025, Belarusian dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenka announced his ‘overwhelming’ victory in his seventh presidential election,...
Mar 18


The Baltics Adapt to Trump
The Baltic states have had the US as a steadfast ally since the end of Cold War but may now have to build regional defenses as Washington...
Mar 17


Ghosts Haunt Poland’s Future
The prospect of the US abandoning Europe is raising profound questions in Warsaw. Poland is nearing a crossroads. It has been there...
Mar 14


Russia’s Interference Freezes NATO Exercise
Moscow’s hybrid war has stopped a NATO military exercise in Romania. President Vladimir Putin’s disruptive meddling is causing serious...
Mar 10


The end of transit: Russian propaganda in search of new ways for Russian gas
The Ukrainian-Russian agreement on the transit of Russian gas to European countries expired on January 1, 2025. This step severed the...
Mar 5


‘Freedom Is Dearer Than Life’ Says Jailed Georgian Journalist
From prison, Mzia Amaglobeli has become a symbol of resistance against Georgia’s oppressive pro-Russian elite. In a photograph taken in...
Feb 28


Why is the Kremlin so hung up on smearing Zelenskyy?
According to the Kremlin: A drug addict, a dictator and a puppet, oligarch, collector of Nazi memorabilia and a Nazi himself, an agent...
Feb 27


The Plague of Sexual Violence Against Ukraine’s Prisoners of War
Ukrainian prisoners of war are suffering sexual violence and rape, compounded by a suffocating silence that isolates them from the world....
Feb 19


Inflation, stagflation, and spin – the Kremlin’s economic war propaganda
Russia’s economy is under pressure, but the Kremlin does not want you to know it. Instead, Moscow has launched an all-out campaign of...
Feb 18


Poland and the Battle to Beat Russian Despotism
As Ukraine’s biggest democratic neighbour, Poland has done everything in its power to help Kyiv. There’s every reason to continue that...
Feb 14


Moscow Embraces Soviet Visuals to Justify War
Soviet imagery and narratives have been a central part of Vladimir Putin’s justification for his assault on Ukraine, and his propaganda...
Feb 6


Don’t Know: Even Now
As crises loom, questions still outnumber answers. By Edward Lucas. Lithuania’s Snow Meeting is less famous than Davos. But the night-owl...
Feb 4


Revival of the Stalinist sport parades in Putin’s Russia
Putin’s fight with ‘neoliberal’ international sports On 17 October 2024, a few months after the Paris Olympic Games, Putin took part in a...
Jan 27


Putin’s Limbless Generation Struggles for Support
Vladimir Putin’s propagandists can’t hide the growing number of disabled war veterans struggling with inadequate or non-existent...
Jan 24
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