top of page
GEOPOLITICS


Unmuzzled: German Spies
Political meddling has long hampered German intelligence and security. Not any more. By Edward Lucas Penetrated by the opposition, paralysed by legal obstacles and subject to political interference, Germany’s intelligence services were for decades seen as at best useless, and at worst outright harmful. I remember a British spook in cold-war Berlin in the 1980s joking: “If you want Gorbachev to know something quickly, tell the Germans in strict secrecy: it will be on his desk 
2 days ago


Five Ways to Punish Russia
With a bit of imagination and courage, NATO can impose immediate costs for Russia’s hybrid war operations. Source: NATO Airborne Early...
Oct 20


Ancient Wisdom: Europe Cannot Hide Behind its Walls
What should be Europe’s strategy as aggressive imperial powers seek to conquer territory? Ancient Greece offers some guidance. Source:...
Oct 17


Magic Weapons: Drones
As Europe dithers, Russia’s successful drone offensive intensifies. By Edward Lucas Source: Land Forces of Ukraine From Munich to Lviv is...
Oct 15


Kremlin Financial Retaliation? Empty Threats
The Putin regime realizes its war of aggression will be seriously affected if financial assets are handed to Ukraine. But it’s impotent....
Oct 8


An EU Security Base on the Black Sea
The EU’s renewed focus on the Black Sea has created an opportunity for Romania, Turkey and Ukraine to shape a stronger defense against...
Oct 6


Europe Moves Toward Shadow Fleet Seizures
European authorities are no longer confining their response to Russia’s shadow fleet to sanctions lists. Image: Heikki Saukkomaa /...
Oct 1


Putin is escalating Russia’s hybrid war against Europe. Is Europe ready?
Source: EUvsDisinfo Russia and Belarus conducted large-scale military exercises in mid-September as the Kremlin sought to put on a show...
Sep 30


Russia’s New Potemkin Cities
The humanitarian crisis in Donbas is worsening, revealing the Kremlin’s neglect of its “new regions” in Ukraine and promising a bitter...
Sep 24


Moldova’s Voters and the Russian Bear Paw
Moldovans are preparing for an election that will determine their future in Europe amid “unprecedented” Russian interference. Can they...
Sep 23


Armenia’s Foreign Policy Revolution
Armenia’s heavy reliance on Russia is coming to an end as Yerevan works to extend relationships and repair once-shattered regional ties....
Sep 18


How quickly can Taiwan integrate US weapon systems? Speed is essential to help deter China.
A Taiwanese M1A2T Abrams US made main battle tank. / Taiwan Military News Agency Over the past few years, discussions on Taiwan’s...
Sep 15


China’s Anti-Western Bloc? Not So Fast
A summit of mostly autocratic countries appears a gloomy signal for the West. But there’s a gap between China’s ambition and delivery....
Sep 10


The Man With Viktor Orbán in His Sights
Hungary’s premier has held the role in a vise-like grip for 15 years, but faces the most serious challenge yet at next-year’s election....
Sep 4


Putin’s Long Game
Russia’s leader aims to cherry-pick concessions from the West, while imposing Soviet-style barriers between his people and outsiders....
Sep 1


A strong Ukraine is the only realistic security guarantee against Russia
Photo: Land Forces Of Ukraine Facebook page Western leaders were in upbeat mood on Monday evening following their unprecedented White...
Aug 29


Georgia — Target the Judges
Once a reliable partner of the West, Georgia is now becoming a Russian-style dictatorship. The West must do more to avert this outcome....
Aug 28


A New Western Strategy for Russian Aggression
After years of trying to force Russia to halt its aggression, the West may eventually have to reconsider its risk tolerance to achieve a...
Aug 26


Putin is facing a fuel crisis as Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian refineries
Gasoline prices soared to record highs  in Russia this week amid growing reports of fuel shortages due to an escalating Ukrainian bombing...
Aug 25


Genocide Claims, Peace Enforcement and Proxy Regions: Disinformation from Georgia to Ukraine
From Georgia to Moldova to Ukraine, the Kremlin follows the same playbook: fuel separatism, spread disinformation, and intervene under...
Aug 12


Putin Building African Springboard for War on West
Russia’s military engagement in Africa has grown since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in a deliberate and cost-effective strategy to...
Aug 11


The summit on a disinformation mountain
Moldova is rapidly moving towards parliamentary elections set for 28 September. Seen as decisive for the geopolitical orientation of the...
Aug 8


Flight Risk: Baltics Scramble to Counter Hybrid Drone Threat
Drone incursions have sparked growing concern across the Baltic States as Moscow and Minsk prepare for military exercises. By Eitvydas...
Aug 5


The Pariahs’ Embrace: The Kremlin and the Taliban
By recognizing the Taliban as Afghanistan’s legitimate authority, Moscow is trying to revive its waning geopolitical influence. Press...
Jul 30


My Enemy’s Enemy — Taiwan and Eastern Europe
When I was invited to speak at a seminar on resilience in Taiwan, I didn’t expect to find a mirror, writes Ieva Ilves. Source: The...
Jul 25


Putin is winning the drone war as Russia overwhelms Ukraine’s defenses
Source: The State Emergency Service of Ukraine Official web portal Russia’s July 4 bombardment of Kyiv was reportedly  the largest of the...
Jul 21


Europe: It’s the Age of the Tiger Not the Ostrich
The continent is at risk. The demand to do nothing is not a rational response. Source: Official Facebook page of NATO - the North...
Jul 18


Putin’s Perp Walk in the Caucasus
Russian power is no longer what it was in the South Caucasus, as smaller countries are demonstrating. Azerbaijan and Armenia move closer...
Jul 16


Europe or China: Who is Africa’s biggest economic partner?
As the world pays more attention to Africa, two major players stand out: China and the European Union (EU). China often makes the news...
Jul 3


North Korea is playing a key role in Russia’s war against Ukraine
North Korea has agreed  to send thousands of additional construction workers and engineers to Russia in the latest indication of...
Jul 2


NATO Should Stay In Europe — And Out of the Pacific
The alliance’s credibility rests on a strong deterrent on its home continent, not with ventures on the other side of the world. US and...
Jul 1


Russiaworld, Iran and a Cascade of Collapse
Things have changed beyond recognition for the Kremlin’s bosses as their once-formidable global network suffers one defeat after another....
Jun 27


Ghosts in the Machine: Opposing Putin
Like the Russian opposition, economic sanctions are popular but ineffective. By Edward Lucas Foto: Vladimir VELENGURIN / KP Sanctions on...
Jun 25


Never let a crisis go to waste
In the Kremlin’s playbook of manipulation, every crisis, every tragedy, is an asset. The Israel-Iran escalation is no exception. The...
Jun 24


Banking: Moldova’s Winning
Russia’s grip on the unrecognized Transnistrian state is weakening. No stunts, please. By Edward Lucas Source: Point.md. Could the...
Jun 20


Turkish-Romanian Defense Deal a Model for Europe
A defense deal signed by Turkish and Romanian arms companies shows a route to enhanced industrial cooperation across Europe. Source:...
Jun 18


Putin’s peace plan is a blueprint for the end of Ukrainian statehood
Source: antikor.com.ua The memorandum  presented by the Russian Federation during recent bilateral talks with Ukraine in Istanbul was...
Jun 17


Kazakhstan and the Russian Tightrope
President Tokayev has restored order since “Bloody January” and boosted Kazakhstan’s image, but Russia’s economic weakness and tougher US...
Jun 16


How Russia Prepared Crimea and Donetsk for Attack
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 followed decades of work to assert control over Crimea and Donbas. The playbook will be...
Jun 10


Putin Turns Peace Efforts to Rubble
Europe must respond more rapidly and with greater determination to halt the Kremlin’s war of aggression. By Nico Lange Source: SES of...
Jun 6


Georgia’s Foreign Agents law: protecting sovereignty or attacking civil society?
Georgia’s authorities have started a disinformation campaign ahead of the application of a new Foreign Agents law. A new law is...
Jun 4


Hot Shots: Cold Sweats
Europe’s not ready. And Putin knows it.  By Edward Lucas.  Source: NATO Force Integration Unit Latvia  With every day that passes, Europe...
May 27


Yielding Crimea Would Weigh Heavy on Ukraine
If Ukraine sacrifices Crimea in return for promises of peace, it will set a precedent for further conflict, and split the country. There...
May 22


Bosnia: Moscow’s Second Front in Europe
The Kremlin is playing games behind the scenes in the Balkans, presenting the West with a challenge and an opportunity. Source:...
May 13


Please, Do Not Betray My Crimea
Crimea is not just a lump of land, it is the home to many hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians. In exile or under occupation, it is a part...
Apr 29


Europe’s Defense Spending Puzzle Can Pay Huge Dividends
Can Europe double the number of main battle tanks and triple its nuclear submarine force at a much-reduced unit price? Yes, and here’s...
Apr 23


Europe’s Vital Nordic-Baltic Shield
There is much to do if Europe wants to deter war, and much of that will depend on the countries in the continent’s northeast. By Eitvydas...
Apr 11


Belarus: Prisoners on screen
Producing and airing so-called ‘repentance videos’ – in which political detainees supposedly confess, regret, or denounce their former...
Apr 9


Putin Has the Fancy Watches — Europe Has the Time
Now more than ever, Europe must stand firm to ensure peace with justice. That means maintaining full military and other pressure on...
Apr 3


Moscow’s failed attempt to pressure Moldova via gas deliveries
On 3 March, the third anniversary of the signing of Moldova’s formal application to join the European Union, Moldovan President Maia...
Apr 2
bottom of page
