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GEOPOLITICS


The Pariahs’ Embrace: The Kremlin and the Taliban
By recognizing the Taliban as Afghanistan’s legitimate authority, Moscow is trying to revive its waning geopolitical influence. Press...
3 days ago


My Enemy’s Enemy — Taiwan and Eastern Europe
When I was invited to speak at a seminar on resilience in Taiwan, I didn’t expect to find a mirror, writes Ieva Ilves. Source: The...
Jul 25


Putin is winning the drone war as Russia overwhelms Ukraine’s defenses
Source: The State Emergency Service of Ukraine Official web portal Russia’s July 4 bombardment of Kyiv was reportedly the largest of the...
Jul 21


Europe: It’s the Age of the Tiger Not the Ostrich
The continent is at risk. The demand to do nothing is not a rational response. Source: Official Facebook page of NATO - the North...
Jul 18


Putin’s Perp Walk in the Caucasus
Russian power is no longer what it was in the South Caucasus, as smaller countries are demonstrating. Azerbaijan and Armenia move closer...
Jul 16


Europe or China: Who is Africa’s biggest economic partner?
As the world pays more attention to Africa, two major players stand out: China and the European Union (EU). China often makes the news...
Jul 3


North Korea is playing a key role in Russia’s war against Ukraine
North Korea has agreed to send thousands of additional construction workers and engineers to Russia in the latest indication of...
Jul 2


NATO Should Stay In Europe — And Out of the Pacific
The alliance’s credibility rests on a strong deterrent on its home continent, not with ventures on the other side of the world. US and...
Jul 1


Russiaworld, Iran and a Cascade of Collapse
Things have changed beyond recognition for the Kremlin’s bosses as their once-formidable global network suffers one defeat after another....
Jun 27


Ghosts in the Machine: Opposing Putin
Like the Russian opposition, economic sanctions are popular but ineffective. By Edward Lucas Foto: Vladimir VELENGURIN / KP Sanctions on...
Jun 25


Never let a crisis go to waste
In the Kremlin’s playbook of manipulation, every crisis, every tragedy, is an asset. The Israel-Iran escalation is no exception. The...
Jun 24


Banking: Moldova’s Winning
Russia’s grip on the unrecognized Transnistrian state is weakening. No stunts, please. By Edward Lucas Source: Point.md. Could the...
Jun 20


Turkish-Romanian Defense Deal a Model for Europe
A defense deal signed by Turkish and Romanian arms companies shows a route to enhanced industrial cooperation across Europe. Source:...
Jun 18


Putin’s peace plan is a blueprint for the end of Ukrainian statehood
Source: antikor.com.ua The memorandum presented by the Russian Federation during recent bilateral talks with Ukraine in Istanbul was...
Jun 17


Kazakhstan and the Russian Tightrope
President Tokayev has restored order since “Bloody January” and boosted Kazakhstan’s image, but Russia’s economic weakness and tougher US...
Jun 16


How Russia Prepared Crimea and Donetsk for Attack
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 followed decades of work to assert control over Crimea and Donbas. The playbook will be...
Jun 10


Putin Turns Peace Efforts to Rubble
Europe must respond more rapidly and with greater determination to halt the Kremlin’s war of aggression. By Nico Lange Source: SES of...
Jun 6


Georgia’s Foreign Agents law: protecting sovereignty or attacking civil society?
Georgia’s authorities have started a disinformation campaign ahead of the application of a new Foreign Agents law. A new law is...
Jun 4


Hot Shots: Cold Sweats
Europe’s not ready. And Putin knows it. By Edward Lucas. Source: NATO Force Integration Unit Latvia With every day that passes, Europe...
May 27


Yielding Crimea Would Weigh Heavy on Ukraine
If Ukraine sacrifices Crimea in return for promises of peace, it will set a precedent for further conflict, and split the country. There...
May 22


Bosnia: Moscow’s Second Front in Europe
The Kremlin is playing games behind the scenes in the Balkans, presenting the West with a challenge and an opportunity. Source:...
May 13


Please, Do Not Betray My Crimea
Crimea is not just a lump of land, it is the home to many hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians. In exile or under occupation, it is a part...
Apr 29


Europe’s Defense Spending Puzzle Can Pay Huge Dividends
Can Europe double the number of main battle tanks and triple its nuclear submarine force at a much-reduced unit price? Yes, and here’s...
Apr 23


Europe’s Vital Nordic-Baltic Shield
There is much to do if Europe wants to deter war, and much of that will depend on the countries in the continent’s northeast. By Eitvydas...
Apr 11


Belarus: Prisoners on screen
Producing and airing so-called ‘repentance videos’ – in which political detainees supposedly confess, regret, or denounce their former...
Apr 9


Putin Has the Fancy Watches — Europe Has the Time
Now more than ever, Europe must stand firm to ensure peace with justice. That means maintaining full military and other pressure on...
Apr 3


Moscow’s failed attempt to pressure Moldova via gas deliveries
On 3 March, the third anniversary of the signing of Moldova’s formal application to join the European Union, Moldovan President Maia...
Apr 2


Three Ways to Build EU Defense
As the US prepares to cut support for “free-loading” Europeans, the continent has a plan to rapidly scale-up its defences. How should it...
Apr 1


Why American Soldiers Are in Lithuania
The likely accidental deaths of four Americans in the Baltic state will not by themselves stop plans for redeployment. And they...
Mar 31


Sympathy With the Devil: The Lie of NATO Expansion
The Kremlin has accomplished something that even its most fervent propagandists might have considered impossible: Western figures now...
Mar 27


Wide Awake and Busy: The Baltics Prepare for Russian Hybrid Attacks
Not all European Union countries are prepared to counter Russia’s hybrid threats, but proximity has increased awareness and readiness in...
Mar 24


Belarus: Lukashenka’s sham election and shift towards a Chinese political model
On 26 January 2025, Belarusian dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenka announced his ‘overwhelming’ victory in his seventh presidential election,...
Mar 18


The Baltics Adapt to Trump
The Baltic states have had the US as a steadfast ally since the end of Cold War but may now have to build regional defenses as Washington...
Mar 17


Ghosts Haunt Poland’s Future
The prospect of the US abandoning Europe is raising profound questions in Warsaw. Poland is nearing a crossroads. It has been there...
Mar 14


Reminder: Russia wants war, not peace
Lately, the aether is abuzz with the word ‘peace’. From providing the backdrop for stormy meetings at the Oval Office, to dominating the...
Mar 11


China on peace in Ukraine: What to expect based on the track record of Beijing’s narratives
With US President Donald Trump’s opening talks with Moscow on Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, denying Russia’s role as an...
Mar 7


North Korea Fighting Against Ukraine: How and Why Russian Propaganda Denies It
Since the full-scale invasion, discussions have occasionally arisen about the so-called “Korean scenario” for Ukraine. In 2022, “...
Mar 4


‘Freedom Is Dearer Than Life’ Says Jailed Georgian Journalist
From prison, Mzia Amaglobeli has become a symbol of resistance against Georgia’s oppressive pro-Russian elite. In a photograph taken in...
Feb 28


Paper bear: the myth of Russian invincibility is blackmail for negotiations
The Kremlin’s flirtation with the idea of Russia’s invincibility started way before the recent heated Munich Security Conference . In...
Feb 24


China Speaks to Europe in the Language of the Wolf
The appointment of a new diplomatic supremo for Europe sends a harsh message on Beijing’s next steps. When the president of the European...
Feb 21


Poland and the Battle to Beat Russian Despotism
As Ukraine’s biggest democratic neighbour, Poland has done everything in its power to help Kyiv. There’s every reason to continue that...
Feb 14


Using NATO’s Article 5 Against Hybrid Attacks
Hybrid warfare against NATO nations should trigger the doctrine of collective defense. But how would it work in practice? By Eitvydas...
Feb 12


Don’t Know: Even Now
As crises loom, questions still outnumber answers. By Edward Lucas. Lithuania’s Snow Meeting is less famous than Davos. But the night-owl...
Feb 4


Choking Russia’s Shadow Fleet in the Baltic
Efforts to shut down the shadow fleet have taken on greater urgency after attacks on NATO members’ critical infrastructure. Here’s what’s...
Jan 17


Europe — Look East to Rebuild the Western Alliance
Europe needs to embrace the incoming Trump administration’s priorities if it wants to strengthen transatlantic relationships....
Jan 13


WP - How to respond to Russia’s hybrid war on the West? Hybrid counterattack.
Russia is suspected in a wide range of indirect attacks in Europe, including cutting undersea cables. Finnish police have said that seven...
Jan 7


Baltic Power Shows Way on Hybrid Threats
The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a model for tackling hybrid threats. On Halloween, Lithuania marked...
Dec 12, 2024


NATO draws up plans for its own fleet of naval surveillance drones
MILAN — The NATO alliance has begun planning for its own fleet of unmanned boats meant to help protect critical undersea infrastructure...
Dec 10, 2024


NATO to revise strategy on how to tackle hybrid warfare
The military alliance is looking for more ways to protect members' assets from sabotage by actors such as Russia and China. There is even...
Dec 9, 2024


Georgia Nears its Moment of Truth
Protesters have been angered by a sudden decision that has put the country’s future on the line. Georgia has suspended its dialogue with...
Dec 5, 2024
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