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The Threat of a Europe-China Trade War

With the US summit behind it, China is squaring up for the next defining trade battle. It’s very confident that it will win. Source: Unspash Europe and China may be heading for a trade war. The European Commission said on May 29 that its economic and security interests will require “a more robust and coherent response” to a surge in Chinese exports to the bloc. The current situation is “not sustainable,” it said. For its part, China accused the Commission of seeking a scapego

16 hours ago

Georgian Dream’s Failed Pivot

How Georgia’s billionaire Ivanishvili misread Moscow, and why Washington shouldn't reward his overtures. Bidzina Ivanishvili / Source TV Pirveli Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze flew to Yerevan in May, shook hands with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy after years of poisonous relations, and spoke about the Middle Corridor transport and energy route. Weeks earlier, the ruling Georgian Dream party had announced the first, belated arrests of law-enforcement offic

May 29

Russian Influence Drains Away in the South Caucasus

Armenia is building closer relations with the EU, underlining Russia’s diminishing influence in the South Caucasus. Source: Nikol Pashinyan on X For decades, Moscow’s power in the South Caucasus rested on military presence, conflict-management formats, energy leverage, and economic influence. This is now under visible strain. Armenia is actively engaging the European Union (EU), Azerbaijan has grown significantly more assertive in its foreign policy, while Georgia is deepenin

May 25

Bulgaria is unlikely to become Putin’s new proxy within the European Union

Source: Rumen Radev Facebook page In early May, former Bulgarian president Rumen Radev was appointed as the country’s new prime minister, potentially bringing one of Europe’s longest-running political crises in recent years to an end. Since 2021, Bulgaria has endured a prolonged period of political instability marked by fragmented parliaments, collapsing coalitions, caretaker governments, and repeated elections. The crisis culminated in the eighth parliamentary election in un

May 22

Awake Now? The US and Europe

The new US National Security Strategy is surprising only for those determined to ignore reality. By Edward Lucas In an ideal, imagined world, the US is a wise, friendly, and eternal mentor to its European allies. It uncomplainingly shoulders the burden of military and diplomatic leadership. It does not push its own interests too hard, whatever American voters may want. Against the background of such wholly unrealistic assumptions, the new US National Security Strategy inde

Dec 9, 2025

Strengthening Ukraine’s wartime economy can set the stage for peace

A comparative assessment of the Russian and Ukrainian wartime economies underlines that Russia’s ongoing invasion has imposed far greater costs on Ukraine by depleting its manpower , worsening its demographics , and straining the country’s financial resources . Sustained support for the Ukrainian economy is therefore crucial as Europe and the United States seek to push Putin toward the negotiating table. Ukraine Economy / Source The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune American and Eu

Dec 2, 2025

Awake But Groggy: Europe’s Shadow Warfare Guardians

The EU is doing well in some areas but as attacks rise, much more continent-wide cooperation is needed. Prime Minister Tusk confirmed the incident on Warsaw–Lublin railway line was an act of sabotage. Source: Donald Tusk / X/ Press materials The purpose of shadow warfare attacks on European countries by Russia and its proxies is multifaceted: to test the vulnerability of critical infrastructure, to destabilize societies and governments, and to provoke reactions that undermine

Nov 20, 2025